Nationalist historian Karol Nawrocki, projected to win Poland’s presidential election, threatens to challenge the country’s pro-EU stance. Backed by Trump, Nawrocki leads rival Rafal Trzaskowski by 51% to 49%. If confirmed, Nawrocki’s presidency could block progressive reforms on abortion and LGBTQ rights, strain EU relations, and undermine support for Ukraine. He advocates stricter immigration controls and emphasizes Catholic values. Nawrocki's past controversies and anti-Ukrainian stance have sparked criticism, but his win could empower Poland’s populist Law and Justice party.