Several major investment banks and research firms have revised Malaysia's 2026 GDP growth forecasts upward to between 4.5% and 4.7%. This optimistic shift follows a stronger-than-expected economic performance in the final quarter of 2025, which has prompted analysts to predict that the nation may once again outperform official government projections.
Maybank Investment Bank led the upgrades by raising its forecast to 5.1%, while other institutions like CIMB and RHB Bank have pushed their estimates to the upper end of the government's 4% to 4.5% target range. The primary drivers for this growth are expected to be resilient domestic demand, a healthy labor market, and a significant uplift from the Visit Malaysia 2026 tourism campaign.
Additionally, strategic investments in data centers and the rollout of national frameworks such as the National Semiconductor Strategy and the New Industrial Master Plan 2030 are expected to generate positive spillovers into higher value-added sectors. Despite these positive indicators, analysts cautioned that external risks, such as potential higher U.S. tariffs and global trade volatility, remain key factors to watch throughout the year.